We present a nonlinear dynamical model coupling reservoir water volume and management quality. The model accounts for inflow, planned outflow, leakage, evaporation, and illegal withdrawals. Stability analysis and scenario simulations show how inflow, governance, and enforcement shape reservoir resilience and long-term sustainability.
Modeling and stability of reservoir systems under physical losses and governance
This study develops a nonlinear model linking reservoir water volume with management quality, incorporating leakage, evaporation, and illegal withdrawals. Stability analysis and simulations show that stronger governance and management improve reservoir resilience and sustainability.