A New Global Method for Measuring Food Self-Sufficiency: Introducing SSFSSR

There has been no unified global method to measure food self-sufficiency. I developed SSFSSR using FAOSTAT to calculate self-sufficiency for 64 items. I also created PPCR, showing that lowering PPCR can raise self-sufficiency without increasing production.
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BioMed Central
BioMed Central BioMed Central

A new method for calculating the food self-sufficiency ratio: supply-side food self-sufficiency ratio - Agriculture & Food Security

Background The conventional food self-sufficiency ratio (CFSSR), which primarily focuses on grains, fails to capture the full spectrum of daily food consumption. This limitation reduces its effectiveness in cross-country comparisons and global food security assessments. In response to this issue, a new indicator termed the supply-side food self-sufficiency ratio (SSFSSR) has been proposed to encompass a broad range of food products and capture the entire food supply chain. The SSFSSR aims to provide a comprehensive and practical framework for assessing food self-sufficiency at the global level. Its calculation draws on multiple data sources, including FAOSTAT, the FAO’s Food Balance Sheets, statistics from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and Japan’s Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF), as well as original farm-level survey data collected by the author. Results The SSFSSR is calculated based on the total quantity of food available for domestic consumption, taking into account production, trade, and losses while eliminating double counting. Secondary products such as meat, dairy, and oils are converted into their primary equivalents using primary product conversion rates (PPCRs). Based primarily on 2021 data, the SSFSSR was estimated for over 180 countries, with an average value of 58.8%. A comparison with the CFSSR was conducted under consistent conditions. The SSFSSR demonstrated broader coverage across both food categories and countries, and showed stronger correlations with major food security indicators, such as food availability and caloric adequacy. The results also suggest that reducing dependence on secondary products—and thereby lowering PPCRs—can improve national food self-sufficiency. Conclusions The findings support the validity and applicability of the SSFSSR. Further refinement will require more accurate data on calorie content per unit weight and the expansion of reliable PPCR values for a wider range of food products, which would enhance the index’s precision and policy relevance.

For many years, there has been no unified global method to measure national food self-sufficiency using standardized datasets and a common formula. Existing indicators—such as the conventional cereal-based self-sufficiency ratio—are limited in scope and fail to capture modern food systems.

I developed a new metric, the Supply-Side Food Self-Sufficiency Ratio -Supply side Food Self-sufficiency Ratio (SSFSSR), which was accepted by Agriculture and Food Security (BMC, Q1) in August 2025.
SSFSSR uses FAOSTAT data to calculate annual food self-sufficiency for 64 items, including cereals, livestock products, vegetables, fruits, edible oils, sugar, and aquatic products.

Two major contributions of this study are:

  1. Development of the Primary Product Conversion Rate (PPCR), enabling the conversion of secondary products into primary equivalents.

  2. A new finding that lowering PPCR increases a country's food self-sufficiency ratio without increasing actual food production.

This method provides a globally standardized and reproducible approach for policymakers, researchers, and international organizations concerned with food security.

Preprint:

Zenodo: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13740850

Researcher Square: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5013312/v2

SSRN:  http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4943561

agriRxiv: https://doi.org/10.31220/agriRxiv.2024.00274

Published (Agriculture & Food Security):

  https://doi.org/10.1186/s40066-025-00570-z

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Researchers are invited to contribute to this special Collection focused on "Food Security in High-Income Nations: Issues, Policies, and Future Directions." Topics of interest include but are not limited to:

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This Collection supports and amplifies research related to SDG 2, Zero Hunger.

All submissions in this collection undergo the journal’s standard peer review process. Similarly, all manuscripts authored by a Guest Editor(s) will be handled by the Editor-in-Chief. As an open access publication, this journal levies an article processing fee (details here). We recognize that many key stakeholders may not have access to such resources and are committed to supporting participation in this issue wherever resources are a barrier. For more information about what support may be available, please visit OA funding and support, or email OAfundingpolicy@springernature.com or the Editor-in-Chief.

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Deadline: Jun 04, 2026