TLG - THE INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS JOURNAL OF THE LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS - TOWARDS A DE-DOLLARIZED GLOBAL OIL MARKET ?
Published in Social Sciences and Arts & Humanities
For decades, the petrodollar system anchored the United States’ monetary primacy, underwritten by strategic ties with Saudi Arabia and the wider OPEC constellation. Yet the landscape is shifting. Diplomatic frictions between Washington and Riyadh, Russia’s exclusion from dollar‑centric payment infrastructures, and China’s expansive Belt and Road footprint have collectively accelerated a move towards currency diversification in oil trade.
The article argues that this trend is neither linear nor unbounded. Structural constraints—such as the limited global liquidity of the yuan and the enduring gravitational pull of the eurodollar system—continue to temper the pace of change. Nonetheless, the strengthening Sino–Saudi partnership, coupled with Asia’s broader economic recalibration, signals a potential redistribution of financial power within the international system.
A world in which oil is traded in multiple currencies would have profound implications: weakened efficacy of U.S. sanctions, altered patterns of financial interdependence, and a more pluralistic—though more complex—architecture of global monetary governance. The article invites scholars and practitioners to consider how these dynamics may reshape the geopolitical economy of energy in the decades ahead.
Keywords: Dollar Hegemony; De‑Dollarisation; Sino‑Saudi Partnership; Global Oil Market; Geopolitical Tensions; Financial Power Shift.
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