Can Tehran Become a 15-Minute City? A Satellite–Municipal View of Urban Sprawl: Comparing Tehran with Melbourne (Australia), Barcelona (Spain)and Paris (France)

Tehran’s sprawl is not only outward growth. Our study combines satellite and municipal land-use data to reveal low-density peripheral expansion, weak land-use mixing, longer trips, and rising air-pollution pressure.
Can Tehran Become a 15-Minute City? A Satellite–Municipal View of Urban Sprawl: Comparing Tehran with Melbourne (Australia), Barcelona (Spain)and Paris (France)
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Mechanism of the Effect of Urban Form and Land Use on Transportation and Air Pollution in Tehran

Problem statement: Air pollution is one of the major challenges of urban management in Tehran. Nowadays, the problem of air pollution and traffic congestion in the metropolis of Tehran, like most major cities in the world, is quite concerning. Land use and transportation are two main sectors that have a maximum contribution to environmental pollution. Research objective: The impetus of this article is to investigate the urban land use efficiency, the distribution of land use, and their impact on transportation and pollutants. For this purpose, the following question was raised: What has been the impact of urban land-use efficiency and distribution of land use in Tehran on transportation and air pollution over the last two decades? Research method: The present paper is a real-life case study for which data was collected through documentary-library, municipal data, and satellite images. In this study, Landsat satellite images, ENVI 5.3, ArcGIS 10.8, Google Earth Pro, and SPSS 24 were used. Conclusion: The results of this study indicate the expansion of Tehran, the loss of vegetation,and their transformation into built lands. Over the past two decades, the growth of the built-up area in Tehranhas exceeded the population growth which indicates the inefficiency of the land during this period. In other words, the expansion of the city has been more towards the suburbs with low population density. The study of the correlation between land use types during the period 2004-2016 indicates the scattered growth of Tehran. In such situations, residents use more private cars, which increases traffic congestion, fuel consumption, and air pollution.

🏙️ The 15-minute city has become one of the most influential ideas in sustainable urban planning.
📍 Paris focuses on proximity and neighbourhood services.
🚶 Barcelona uses Superblocks to reclaim streets from cars.
🚌 Melbourne promotes 20-minute neighbourhoods to support local living.

🌆 Tehran offers a different but highly relevant case. Our 2022 study shows that Tehran’s sprawl is not simply physical expansion. By integrating 🛰️ satellite imagery with 🏛️ Tehran Municipality land-use data, we identified a more complex pattern: rapid built-up growth toward low-density peripheral areas, combined with weak land-use mixing and functional separation inside the city.

🔎 This dual evidence creates a new understanding of Tehran’s urban sprawl. Satellite data show where the city has physically expanded over the past two decades. Municipal land-use data show how separated urban functions generate longer daily trips. Together, they explain why residents often travel across the city for work, education, shopping, treatment, and services—contributing to 🚗 car dependence, ⛽ fuel consumption, 🚦 congestion, and 🌫️ air pollution.

🌍 Lessons from Melbourne, Barcelona, and Paris suggest that Tehran needs a localized 15/20-minute city model, not a direct copy of European or Australian examples.
🏘️ In peripheral districts, proximity planning can reduce forced travel by strengthening local service hubs.
🚸 In central districts, traffic calming and street redesign can reduce car dominance.
🗺️ Across the whole city, GIS, remote sensing, and municipal data can help identify where land-use reform, public transport investment, and spatial equity interventions are most urgent.

❓ Key question:
Can satellite–municipal data integration help rapidly growing megacities detect hidden forms of sprawl and design fairer, cleaner, and more accessible neighbourhoods?

🤝 I welcome discussion and collaboration from researchers and practitioners working on urban planning, transport, GIS, remote sensing, air quality, accessibility, and sustainable cities.

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