Very old patients need palliative care,not intensive care - an empirical and normative analysis

The Swedish COVID-19 ICU guideline was criticised for age discrimination and lacking legal grounds. We examined ICU admission decisions for older patients during the first wave, using quantitative and qualitative data from four sources to understand how these choices were actually made.
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BioMed Central
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Age and grit in prioritising intensive care: - a mixed-methods approach of normative challenges - BMC Medical Ethics

Background Intensive care unit (ICU) admissions among older patients are increasing, posing significant challenges to already strained healthcare systems. Decision-making around ICU admission in times of limited resources may provide important knowledge about difficult prioritisations, particularly for older patients. Thus, the aim was to investigate ICU-admission decisions for older patients with COVID-19. Methods A mixed-methods approach. We audio-recorded ten COVID Rounds and nine Moral Case Deliberations for 34 patients across three Swedish hospitals during the pandemic, and collected data from medical records of 329 patients aged ≥ 65 diagnosed with COVID-19. Data were analysed using qualitative content analysis and multiple regression. Results Among 239 patients with documented decisions in medical records, 56% included explicit justifications. The justifications included considerations of medical benefit (not-too- ill/too-ill), general condition (good/frail), age (not-too-old/high age), professional duty (benefit of the doubt/do no harm) and “worth giving it a go” (grit and will to live/lack of will and coping). A minority (31%) of decisions favoured ICU admission. Justifications supporting admission were predominantly drawn from discussions in COVID Rounds and MCDs, where patient grit was a recurring argument. In regression analyses, age ≥ 80 years was the only factor significantly associated with not being admitted to ICU and having a documented justification. Few decisions explicitly referred to COVID-19-specific factors. Conclusion Our findings reflect patterns similar to pre-pandemic ICU decision-making, suggesting continuity in clinical reasoning. However, the limited documentation of justifications—especially in favour of admission—warrants attention, emphasising the need for clearer reasoning in medical records. Our findings identify chronological age as a key triage factor, normatively supported by the ethical principles of non-maleficence, justice, and Sweden’s legal priority-setting principle of Needs and Solidarity—which emphasises care only when benefit is likely. We therefore advocate for national (and potentially international) guidance on triage systems that support a palliative approach for very old patients. While grit may be relevant to ICU admission due to its link to potential benefit, its use raises ethical concerns, particularly in relation to Needs and Solidarity and Human Dignity. We recommend its cautious application pending further research.

We found clear and consistent evidence – both quantitative and qualitative – that high chronological age is a key factor against ICU admission. Among all the variables we compared, only being 80 years or older clearly stood out as linked to not being admitted to intensive care.

Across every data source, high age kept reappearing as a justification for non-admission. In medical records, “considering age” was mentioned again and again. In the COVID Rounds, Moral Case Deliberations (structured reflections on ethically complex patient cases), and follow-up interviews, the phrase “very old” was used repeatedly when decisions were discussed.

Another powerful justification across all data was about not harming the patient. This included avoiding unworthy suffering, not subjecting patients to what was described as torture when ICU care offered no benefit and recognising ventilator treatment as risky. For patients over 80, ICU care was often described as unacceptable; at 90, death was seen as a natural event. One ICU consultant put it poignantly:

“Ninety feels like, if you’ve had a good life and you’re spry and healthy ... if you die suddenly, then it’s expected. And better than dragging to the ICU and tormenting the person.”

Interestingly, few justifications were directly linked to the pandemic. The patterns we found mirror those from pre-COVID studies, suggesting that what we captured ordinary clinical decision-making, not crisis-specific thinking.

 

Normative discussion
When discussing chronological age as a factor, our findings align with two key ethical principles: non-maleficence and justice.

Non-maleficence implies here sparing patients from unnecessary suffering and loss of dignity. Distributive justice connects with the ICU prioritisation literature, which tends to exclude patients “with a fuller lifecycle.” In intensive care, defining what counts as a need becomes crucial.

According to Swedish legislation, healthcare needs are defined by both the severity of a condition and the potential benefit of treatment. For very old patients, with higher ICU mortality and poorer recovery rates, the potential benefit is often limited. From this perspective, ICU care may not truly meet very old patients’ needs.

Following the legal principle of Need and Solidarity, treatment should only be prioritised when there is potential for benefit. Our results therefore suggest that many very old patients are better served by palliative rather than intensive care.

 A call for courage and clarity
We believe it is time for a national – and perhaps international – guiding policy on triage systems for very old patients in everyday care. Such a policy should be developed with courage and transparency, openly supporting a palliative approach for the very old.

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