Behind the Paper

Is global tropical cyclone landfall decay slowing down?

Uncertain. No consensual evidence.
Published in Earth & Environment
Go to the profile of Kelvin T. F. CHAN
Kelvin T. F. CHAN
Associate Professor, Sun Yat-sen University
Is global tropical cyclone landfall decay slowing down?
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Nature
Nature Nature

Landfalling hurricane track modes and decay - Nature

Nature - Landfalling hurricane track modes and decay

Tropical cyclone is one of the most destructive natural disasters around the world, causing significant economic losses and casualties to the coasts and inland proximity when they make landfall. Some studies suggested that the decay of tropical cyclone intensity after landfall is slowing down. However, here we show that its long-term trend is uncertain and not universal, but spatial, temporal, data, and methodology dependent such that any claim of a climate trend could be misleading at present. The decay highly depends on the landfalling track modes, with the effective area of moisture supply from the ocean playing a vital role.

Read more:

Paper 1: Chan, K.T.F., Zhang, K., Wu, Y. et al. Landfalling hurricane track modes and decay. Nature 606, E7–E11 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-04791-1

Paper 2: Chan, K.T.F., Chan, J.C.L., Zhang, K. et al. Uncertainties in tropical cyclone landfall decay. npj Clim Atmos Sci 5, 93 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00320-z

Go to the profile of Kelvin T. F. CHAN
Kelvin T. F. CHAN (He/Him)
Associate Professor, Sun Yat-sen University

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Earth and Environmental Sciences
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    This journal is dedicated to publishing research on topics such as climate dynamics and variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry, the hydrological cycle and atmosphere-ocean and -land interactions.

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