How has Arctic sea ice responded to past climate forcing over millions of years?

We explore 2.6 million years of Arctic sea ice variability using a transient climate simulation. Our findings reveal how orbital forcing, greenhouse gases, and ice sheets shaped high- and mid-latitude sea ice, offering key insights into past and future climate dynamics.
How has Arctic sea ice responded to past climate forcing over millions of years?
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In our new study, we present a comprehensive analysis of Northern Hemisphere sea ice variability over the past 2.6 million years using a fully coupled transient climate model simulation. We show that orbital changes, greenhouse gases (GHGs), and ice sheets each played distinct roles across different latitudes and time periods. Notably, high-latitude perennial sea ice is most sensitive to axial tilt (obliquity), while mid-latitude seasonal sea ice responds primarily to precession. During the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (0.7–1.2 Ma), sea ice variability exhibits longer 100,000-year cycles due to amplified GHG and ice-sheet feedbacks.

Our results reveal how astronomical and geophysical forcings have governed sea ice evolution—and may continue to do so under future climate change.

Read the full paper here: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55327-2
#Paleoclimate #SeaIce #ClimateChange #Quaternary #EarthSystemScience #NatureCommunications

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Climate Sciences
Physical Sciences > Earth and Environmental Sciences > Earth Sciences > Climate Sciences
Climate and Earth System Modelling
Mathematics and Computing > Mathematics > Applications of Mathematics > Mathematics of Planet Earth > Climate and Earth System Modelling
Cryospheric Science
Physical Sciences > Earth and Environmental Sciences > Earth Sciences > Planetary Science > Cryospheric Science
Astronomy, Cosmology and Space Sciences
Physical Sciences > Physics and Astronomy > Astronomy, Cosmology and Space Sciences

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