The Blue-Green Synergy: Discovering a Powerful Partnership for Cooler Cities

It started with the palpable heat of Taipei's summers. This personal experience fueled our research journey—developing a novel deep learning model, decoding decades of satellite data, and ultimately discovering how the synergy of green and blue spaces holds the key to cooler urban futures.
The Blue-Green Synergy: Discovering a Powerful Partnership for Cooler Cities
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Maximizing cooling benefits through urban green and blue spaces in Taipei city - Discover Cities

Accurate retrieval of Land Surface Temperature (LST) is critical for assessing the cooling effects of urban green spaces (UGS) and blue spaces (UBS), which help mitigate the urban heat island effect and improve thermal comfort. This study introduces a novel methodology that integrates deep learning with domain expertise to predict LST, using real LST data, vegetation spectral indices, and spectral bands as inputs. A 1-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN) was developed, which outperformed conventional machine learning and alternative deep learning models, demonstrating high predictive accuracy and strong generalization ability. Spatial regression analyses were further employed to examine how UGS of varying sizes influence LST. Results revealed that larger UGS provide strong cooling benefits, while smaller patches contribute less. Remote sensing data from 1991 to 2022 confirmed the significant role of both green and blue spaces in mitigating urban heat, with notable cooling observed around wetlands, rivers, and urban parks. Importantly, combined green–blue configurations enhanced cooling more effectively than blue spaces alone, indicating synergistic benefits when vegetation is integrated with water bodies. Case analysis of afforestation in Daan Forest Park demonstrated how urban greening initiatives can substantially lower local temperatures. Similarly, UBS surrounded by adjacent vegetation exhibited greater temperature reductions compared to isolated water bodies. These findings underscore the need to preserve and expand large, continuous green areas while enhancing connections between green and blue infrastructures. The proposed framework provides robust evidence and practical guidance for urban planners and policymakers to design climate-resilient cities that maximize the co-benefits of UGS and UBS.

Getting our paper, "Maximizing cooling benefits through urban green and blue spaces in Taipei city," accepted by *Discover Cities* was a moment of immense satisfaction. It felt like the culmination of a long journey that started not just with a research question but with a very palpable, personal experience: the increasingly sweltering summers in Taipei.

 If you've ever walked through a dense city on a hot day, you've felt the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect. The heat seems to radiate from the concrete, the asphalt, and the glass facades. Then, you step into a park or walk by a river, and you feel an immediate sense of relief. That visceral contrast was our starting point. We knew green and blue spaces cooled their surroundings, but as researchers, we had to move beyond feeling it to *measuring* it precisely. How much cooler? Does the size of a park matter? And what happens when you combine water and vegetation?

The Core Challenge: Pinpointing the Temperature

The foundation of any study on urban heat is accurate Land Surface Temperature (LST) data. While satellites provide this data, retrieving precise LST is notoriously tricky. Traditional methods are often constrained by atmospheric conditions and the complex interplay of land surface properties. We wanted a method that was not only accurate but also robust and reproducible.

 This led us to our first major innovation: developing a *knowledge-driven deep learning model*. Instead of treating the AI as a black box, we "taught" it the physics. We fed our 1-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN) real LST data calculated from physical equations, alongside the satellite's spectral bands and vegetation indices. It was a marriage of domain expertise and cutting-edge AI. The "aha!" moment came when our model consistently outperformed other machine learning techniques. It wasn't just a statistical win; it felt like we had successfully encoded the complex reality of urban thermodynamics into a tool we could trust. This robust LST map became the bedrock upon which all our subsequent findings were built.

The Surprising Story of Shrinking Green Patches

With a reliable temperature map in hand, we turned to the green spaces. Using spectral mixture analysis, we meticulously mapped three decades of urban greenery in Taipei. The city-level trend showed positive efforts in greening, but the devil was in the details—or rather, in the sizes.

 When we categorized green spaces by size, a concerning trend emerged. While the total number of small green patches (less than 0.1 hectares) was increasing—a testament to rooftop gardens, pocket parks, and roadside planting—the area covered by the largest green spaces (over 100 hectares) was significantly declining. This was a classic case of what we might call "green space fragmentation." The city was gaining many small, scattered cool spots but losing its large, powerful "cold islands."

 Our spatial regression analyses confirmed our suspicions. These large, contiguous green spaces—like Daan Forest Park, which we highlighted as a case study—had a profoundly stronger cooling effect than the sum of many small patches. A single large park acts as a cohesive cool air factory, while small, isolated patches struggle to influence their immediate surroundings against the overwhelming heat of the urban matrix. This finding was a crucial nuance for urban planners: it’s not just about *how much* green space you have, but *how it’s configured*.

The Blue-Green Synergy: A Cooler Partnership

Perhaps the most exciting part of our research was untangling the relationship between blue spaces (rivers, wetlands) and green spaces. It’s intuitive that a river cools the air, but we wanted to quantify it and see how vegetation enhanced this effect.

 We developed a novel method to isolate the cooling effect of the Keelung River. By creating temperature profiles across the river and identifying the point where the cooling influence faded, we could calculate the "cooling temperature" attributable to the water itself. But the story didn't end there.

 When we looked at the spatial patterns of "cold spots," we saw that the most potent cooling occurred where blue met green. A riverbank lined with vegetation was far more effective at reducing temperatures than a concrete canal. The combined cooling effect of blue and green infrastructure was greater than the sum of its parts. The vegetation, through shading and evapotranspiration, pre-cools the air before it interacts with the water, and the water body, in turn, helps sustain the moisture needed for the plants' cooling processes. It’s a beautiful, synergistic relationship that creates a much more resilient and extended cooling corridor.

 This was a powerful insight. It argues against hard engineering solutions for waterways and champions the restoration of natural, vegetated riverbanks as a core climate adaptation strategy.

The Human Element and the Path Forward

This research was never just an academic exercise. It was driven by the real-world challenge of making cities more livable, especially for vulnerable populations like the elderly, who are disproportionately affected by heatwaves. Seeing the transformation of Daan Forest Park from barren land to a thriving urban forest—and correlating that directly with the emergence of a new "cold spot" on our maps—was incredibly rewarding. It was tangible proof that policy and planning decisions can, and do, alter the city's microclimate for the better.

 Our journey, from feeling the heat to modeling it with AI, leads us to a clear set of messages for policymakers and planners:

 **Prioritize Preservation:** Protect large, contiguous green spaces at all costs. They are non-negotiable assets for urban climate resilience.

  1. **Design for Connection:** When creating new green spaces, aim for size and connectivity. Cluster smaller patches and link them with green corridors to amplify their cooling power.
  2. **Embrace the Partnership:** Always integrate green spaces with blue infrastructure. Create "cooling corridors" along rivers and wetlands by preserving or restoring their natural vegetated buffers.

 This paper is our contribution to the global effort to build more sustainable and climate-resilient cities. The methods we developed offer a replicable framework, and the findings provide actionable evidence. The summer heat in Taipei might have been our initial motivation, but we hope the cool logic of our findings will help cities everywhere breathe a little easier.

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